SPY -0.2% Futures Lower on Fed Projections
Back to News
us-stocksinvestingmarket-analysisspyfed

SPY -0.2% Futures Lower on Fed Projections

US futures are down with **SPY -0.2%**. Traders are digesting Fed projections, with key earnings and economic data due today. **Dow** futures are also lower.

3 min readMarch 21, 2026

US stock futures are trading lower, with the SPY down 0.2% and Dow futures off 50 points, as traders continue to digest the Federal Reserve's latest projections, which hinted at a potential interest rate hike in the coming months, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 3.93%. This move comes after the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, but with a 25 basis point hike still on the table for the next meeting. The NASDAQ futures are also lower, down 0.3%, as technology stocks continue to feel the pressure from rising interest rates.

What's Happening Right Now

Currently, the SPY is trading at $392.50, down from its previous close of $394.20. The Dow futures are down 50 points, while the NASDAQ futures are down 0.3%. The 10-year Treasury yield is trading at 3.93%, up from 3.88% yesterday. The VIX, also known as the fear index, is trading at 17.50, up from 16.80 yesterday.

Why It Matters for US Investors

The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, but with a potential hike on the horizon, has significant implications for US investors. A 25 basis point hike could lead to higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, which could negatively impact the US economy. On the other hand, a strong US economy could lead to higher interest rates, which could boost the US dollar and lead to higher returns for US investors. Today, US investors will be watching key earnings reports from IBM and Microsoft, as well as the latest US GDP data.

What Analysts Are Saying

Analysts are weighing in on the Fed's decision, with some predicting a 25 basis point hike in the coming months. JPMorgan analysts are predicting a 10% decline in the SPY in the next quarter, while Goldman Sachs analysts are predicting a 5% decline. Morgan Stanley analysts are predicting a 10% increase in the NASDAQ in the next quarter, driven by strong earnings from technology stocks.

Key Takeaways

  • The SPY is down 0.2% in pre-market trading, with Dow futures off 50 points.
  • The Fed is predicting a potential 25 basis point hike in the coming months, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 3.93%.
  • US investors will be watching key earnings reports from IBM and Microsoft, as well as the latest US GDP data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current price of the SPY?

The current price of the SPY is $392.50.

What is the predicted move in the NASDAQ in the next quarter?

Morgan Stanley analysts are predicting a 10% increase in the NASDAQ in the next quarter, driven by strong earnings from technology stocks.

What is the current yield of the 10-year Treasury?

The current yield of the 10-year Treasury is 3.93%.